Trading room – Tue 18 Dec 2018
The dreaded word has reached the biggest market in the world. US stocks fell further on Monday, pushing the S&P 500to a new low for the year amid growing concerns that the Federal Reserve’s plan to raise interest rates could be too much for the economy and stock market to handle.
The S&P 500 fell as much as 2.5 percent to 2,530.54, surpassing its February intraday low of 2,532.69. The Dow JonesIndustrial Average lost 507.53 points to close at 23,592.98, bringing its two-day losses to more than 1,000 points.
It was reported that the Dow and S&P500, which are both in corrections, are on track for their worst December performance since the Great Depression in 1931, down more than 7 percent so far for the month. The S&P 500 is now in the red for 2018 by 4 percent.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.2percent to finish the day at 6,753.73.
However, the main news is that the US Russell 2000 index — which tracks the performance of smaller companies — entered a bear market, down 20 percent from its 52-week high.
The worry is that these names are the most sensitive to fluctuations in the US economy and market sentiment because of their small size, and could signal larger caps would soon join them.
According to one US analyst, the sell-off comes from the risk-off sentiment as “small caps are riskier than large caps, and there are some concerns about the end of a cycle in the U.S. and that we are entering a recession.”
The sell-off in small-cap stocks in the US is a sharp reversal from their outperformance earlier this year.
Small caps there had benefited from bets that small, domestic-oriented companies would be immune to the trade tensions between the U.S. and China and benefit most from the U.S. tax cut. However, rising rates and increasing costs on things such as wages ultimately dented the appetite for smaller companies, along with an overall
We know that any time the US market sneezes and in this scenario cough heavily, the flu is likely to spread across markets all over the world.
The local bourse, Bursa Malaysia has also seen relentless selling of
But these falls are also presenting tremendous opportunities for rebound plays for long buyers. Where and when exactly will there be a rebound in these major indices and how long will they last?
Elite traders know that tracking and knowing these levels make all the difference between them and the common traders as they can enter and exit much earlier for above-average gains when the rebound comes.
There are many ways one could accumulate stocks near to their lows.
The presence of divergence, stretched volatility and cycle, strong support or breaking of major critical resistance levels are just some of the methods that could be calculated mathematically in advance to present low-risk high probability entries.
These mean that one should be prepared to buy the right stocks at the right time and at the right level, even while others are still selling.
Indices Outlook for Bura Malaysia
The selling on the market has been indiscriminate and likely based on sentiment with the baby being thrown out along with the bath water. A study of both fundamentally strong stocks and their technical/tactically levels using big data and algorithm-calculated levels will easily show the best stocks to accumulate and their levels and
Here is a list of such tradeable stocks and trade action should be undertaken as soon as their critical levels are breached to the upside. Double-digit gains are likely in a rebound play and elite traders should watch these stocks closely at the critical levels given and adopt appropriate position sizing.
Priority should be given to high betasector and stocks (highlighted in orange).
Join and network with us at our mPower Algorithm and mPowerTrading programs and see how your outlook on the market and stock portfolio could be helped and shaped by big data analytics and trading algorithms.